Archive for the 'Archived Publications' Category

Publications 2007

« 7 December 2007 | 5:46 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Hulme,M. (2007) Understanding climate change: the power and the limit of science (viewpoint article) Weather 62(9), 243-244.

Andronova,N., Schlesinger,M.E., Dessai,S., Hulme,M. and Li,B. (2007) The concept of climate sensitivity: history and development pp.5-17 in, Human-induced climate change: an inter-disciplinary assessment (eds.) Schlesinger,M.E., Khesgi,H., Smith,J., Chesnaye,F., Reily,J.M., Wilson,T. and Kolstad,C., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 451pp.

Hulme,M. (2007) Newspaper scare headlines can be counter-productive Nature, 445 (22 Feb), p.818

Dessai,S. and Hulme,M. (2007) Assessing the robustness of adaptation decisions to climate change uncertainties: a case-study on water resources management in the East of England Global Environmental Change, 17(1), 59-72.

Dessai,S., O’Brien,K. and Hulme,M. (2007) On uncertainty and climate change Global Environmental Change, 17(1), 1-3.

Dessai,S., O’Brien,K. and Hulme,M. (eds.) (2007) Uncertainty in climate change adaptation in mitigation Global Environmental Change (Special Issue), Volume 17(1)



Publications 2006

« 31 December 2006 | 4:25 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Hulme,M. (2006) We need a change of climate to survive Times Higher Educational Supplement (6 Jan), p.14

Hulme,M. and Minns,A. (2006) Truly useful: doing climate change research that is useful for both theory and practice Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 32pp.

Hulme,M. (2006) Unexpected interest in an element Book review of ‘Carbon and its domestication’ Mannion,A., Times Higher Educational Supplement (26 May), pp.xii-xiii

Hulme,M. (2006) Climate change in Europe: implications for the future and choices for the present pp.16-17 in, Climate change and biodiversity - meeting the challenge Report of the 13th Annual Conference of the European Environment Advisory Committee, English Nature, Peterborough, UK, 84pp.

Hulme,M. (2006) Tyndall Centre research strategy: summary 2006-2009 Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 16pp.

Hulme,M. (2006) Break moulds to recognise value of interdisciplinary research Research Fortnight, (22 Nov), pp.16-18

Hulme,M. (2006) Something to clear the air Book review of ‘Avoiding dangerous climate change’ Schenllhuber,H.J. et al. (eds.) in Times Higher Educational Supplement (18 Aug), p.23

Hulme,M. (2006) A priceless proposition Book review of ‘How to spend $50 billion to make the world a better place’ Lomborg,B. (ed.) Times Higher Educational Supplement (1 Sep), pp.24-25



Publications 2005

« 31 December 2005 | 4:24 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Adger,W.N., Brown,K. and Hulme,M. (2005) Redefining global environmental change Global Environmental Change 15(1), 1-4

Dessai,S., Lu,X. and Hulme,M. (2005) Limited sensitivity analysis of regional climate change probabilities for the 21st century J. Geophys. Research (Atmospheres) 110(D19108), doi:10.1029/2005JD005919

Hulme,M. (2005) Global warming and African climate change: a re-assessment pp.29-40 in, Climate change and Africa (ed.) Low,P.S., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 369pp.

Hulme,M. (2005) Recent trends in climate pp.31-40 in, Climate change and biodiversity (eds.) Lovejoy,T.E. and Hannah,L., Yale University Press, Yale, USA, 418pp.

Hulme,M., Githeko,A. and Matthies,F. (2005) Climate change and infectious diseases in Africa pp.27-33 in, Infectious diseases in Africa: using science to fight the evolving threat (ed.) Office of Science and Technology, London, UK, 57pp.

Hulme,M. (2005) Pie in the sky tops this GB’s wish list Book review of ‘Global crisis, global solutions’, B.Lomborg (ed.) Times Higher Education Supplement (22 April), pp.28-29

Metz,B. and Hulme,M. (eds.) (2005) Climate policy options post-2012: European strategy, technology and adaptation after Kyoto Climate Policy (Special Issue), 5(3), 243-391



Publications 2004

« 31 December 2004 | 4:22 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Dai,A., Lamb,P.J., Trenberth,K.E., Hulme,M., Jones,P.D., and Xie,P. (2004) The recent Sahel drought is real International Journal of Climatology 24(11), 1323-1331

Dessai,S., Adger,W.N., Hulme,M., Kohler,J., Turnpenny,J. and Warren,R. (2004) Defining and experiencing dangerous climate change Climatic Change, 64, 11-25

Dessai,S. and Hulme,M. (2004) Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? Climate Policy, 4, 107-128

Hulme,M. (2004) A change in the weather? Coming to terms with climate change pp.21-44 in, Global environmental issues (ed.) Harris,F., Wiley & Sons, Chichester, UK

Hulme,M. (2004) Climate change and lakes pp.55-61 in, Climate change and governance - managing the impacts on lakes 8th Living Lakes Conference, 8-12 September 2003, (ed.) Global Nature Fund, Radolfzell, Germany, 90pp.

Hulme,M. (2004) Pictures, scenarios or probabilities: how should we portray dangerous climate change? Paper presented at the Conference ‘Perspectives on dangerous climate change’, 28-29 June 2004, UEA, Norwich

Hulme,M. (2004) Save the world without being an eco-bore Book review of ‘High tide: news from a warming world’ by Lynas,M. and ‘Red sky at morning: America and the crisis of the global environment - a citizen’s agenda for action’ by Speth, J.G. Times Higher Educational Supplement (22 Oct), pp. 24-25.

Hulme,M. (2004) Whipping up a storm for the future Book review of ‘Climate into the 21st century’ by Burroughs,W. (ed.) Times Higher Educational Supplement, p. 29.

Lu,X. and Hulme,M. (2004) Combating climate change chapter in, Introducing sustainable development in nine and a half chapters (LEAD International, eds.), LEAD International, London, UK [ISBN 0-9546927-0-5]

Mitchell,T.D., Carter,T.R., Jones,P.D., Hulme,M. and New,M.G. (2004) A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe: the observed record (1901-2000) and 16 scenarios (2001-2100) Tyndall Working Paper No.55, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 30pp.

Hulme,M. and Turnpenny,J.T. (2004) Understanding and managing climate change: the UK experience Geographical Journal 170 ( 2), 105-115

Gill,J., Watkinson,A.R. and Hulme,M. (2004) Flying in the face of climate change: a review of climate change past, present and future Ibis, 146, 4-10



Publications 2003

« 31 December 2003 | 4:21 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Adger,W.N., Huq,S., Brown,K., Conway,D. and Hulme,M. (2003) Adaptation to climate change in the developing world Progress in Development Studies, 3, 179-195

Dessai,S., Adger,W.N., Hulme,M., Kohler,J., Turnpenny,J. and Warren,R. (2003) Defining and experiencing dangerous climate change Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.28, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 12pp.

Dessai,S. and Hulme,M. (2003) Does climate policy need probabilities? Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.34, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 43pp.

Goodess,C., Osborn,T.J. and Hulme,M. (2003) The identification and evaluation of suitable scenario development methods for the estimation of future probabilities of extreme weather events Tyndall Centre Technical Report No.4, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 65pp.

Goodess,C., Hanson,C., Hulme,M. and Osborn,T.J. (2003) Representing climate and extreme weather events in integrated assessment models: a review of existing methods and options for development Integrated Assessment, 4(3), 145-171

Hulme,M. (2003) Abrupt climate change: can society cope? Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.30, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 23pp.

Hulme,M. (2003) Abrupt climate change: can society cope? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society London (A), 361(1810), 2001-2021



Publications 2002

« 31 December 2002 | 4:20 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Adger,W.N., Huq,S., Brown,K., Conway,D. and Hulme,M. (2002) Adaptation to climate change: setting the agenda for development policy and research Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.16, Tyndall Centre, Norwich

Adger,W.N., Brooks,N., Brown,K., Conway,D., Haxeltine,A. and Hulme,M. (2002) Memorandum of evidence on climate change and sustainable development by the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research pp.59-62 in, Global Climate Change and Sustainable Development (ed.) House of Commons International Development Committee, Session 2001-2, Paper 519-II, The Stationary Office, London, UK

Arnell,N.W., Cannell,M.G.R, Hulme,M., Kovats,S.R., Mitchell,J.F.B., Nicholls,R.J., Parry,M.L. Livermore,M.T.J. and White,A. (2002) The consequences of CO2 stabilisation for the impacts of climate change Climatic Change 53, 413-446

Doherty,R.M. and Hulme,M. (2002) The relationship between the SOI and extended tropical precipitation in simulations of future climate change Geophys. Res. Letts., 29(10), 113-114

Hulme,M. (2002) Climate change: a sober assessment pp.1-17 in, Nature’s revenge? hurricanes: floods and climate change (ed.) Gilland,T., Institute of Ideas/Hodder and Stoughton, London, UK

Hulme,M. (2002) Framework for an integrated global climate management strategy Science in Parliament, 59 (2), 14-15

Hulme,M. (2002) Frameworks for an integrated global climate management strategy Environmental Scientist, 11, 7-8

Hulme,M. (2002) The changing climate of the UK: now and in the future pp.9-26 in, Climate change: impacts on UK forests, (ed.) Broadmeadow,M., Forestry Bulletin No 125, Institute of Chartered Foresters/Forestry Commission, Edinburgh, UK, 198pp.

Hulme,M., Jenkins,G.J., Brooks,N., Cresswell,D., Doherty,R.M., Durman,C., Gregory,J., Lowe,J. and Osborn,T.J. (2002) What is happening to global climate and why? pp.18-49 in, Health effects of climate change in the UK, Department of Health Report, London, UK, 238pp.

Hulme,M. et al. (2002) Climate change scenarios for the United Kingdom: the UKCIP02 scientific report Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich, UK, 120pp.

Hulme,M., Turnpenny,J.R. and Jenkins,G.J. (2002) Climate change scenarios for the United Kingdom: the UKCIP02 briefing report Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich, UK, 15pp.

Lu,X., Crossley,J. and Hulme,M. (2002) An exploration of regional climate change scenarios for Scotland Scottish Geographical Journal, 117, 251-270

Mitchell,T.D., Hulme,M. and New,M.G. (2002) Climate data for political areas Area, 34, 109-112

Mitchell,T.D. and Hulme,M. (2002) Length of the growing season Weather, 57, 196-198

New,M.G., Lister,D., Hulme,M. and Makin,I. (2002) A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas Climate Research, 21, 1-25

Osborn,T.J. and Hulme,M. (2002) Evidence for trends in heavy rainfall events over the UK Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A - Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, 360(1796), 1313-1325

Patz,J.A., Hulme,M., Rosenzweig,C., Mitchell,T.D., Goldberg,R.A., Githeko,A.K., Lele,S., McMichael,A.J. and Le Sueur,D. (2002) Regional warming and malaria resurgence Nature, 420(6916), 627-628

Turnpenny,J.R., Crossley,J.F., Hulme,M. and Obsorn,T.J. (2002) Airflow influences on local climate: comparison of a regional climate model with observations over the UK Climate Research, 20 (3), 189-202



Publications 2001

« 31 December 2001 | 4:19 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Dessai,S. and Hulme,M. (2001) Climatic implications of revised IPCC emissions scenarios, the Kyoto Protocol and quantification of uncertainties Integrated Assessment 2, 159-170.

Giorgi,F., Hewitson,B., Christensen,H.J., Hulme,M., Von Storch,H., Whetton,P., Jones,R., Mearns,L.O. and Fu,C. (2001) Regional climate information evaluation and projections pp.583-638 in, Climate change 2001: the scientific basis (eds.) Houghton,J.T., Ding,Y., Griggs,D.J., Noguer,M., van der Linden,P.J., Dai,X., Maskell,K. and Johnson,C.A., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 944pp.

Goodess,C.M., Hulme,M. and Osborn,T.J. (2001) The identification and evaluation of suitable scenario development methods for the estimation of future probabilities of extreme weather events Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.6, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, 46pp.

Horton,E.B., Parker,D.E., Folland,C.K., Jones,P.D. and Hulme,M. (2001) The effect of increasing the mean on the percentage of extreme values in Gaussian and skew distributions. Response to X. Zhang et al. Climatic Change, 50(4), 509-510.

Hulme,M. (2001) Defining future climates from scenarios to risk assessments pp.8-9 in, Impact of climate change on wildlife (eds.) Green,R.E., Harley,M., Spalding,M. and Zöckler,C. Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, UK

Hulme,M. (2001) Emissions Scenarios: What are they and what do they tell us? Tyndall Centre Briefing Note No.1, Tyndall Centre, Norwich

Hulme,M. (2001) Integrated assessment models Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.2, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, 17pp.

Hulme,M. (2001) Climatic perspectives on Sahelian desiccation: 1973-1998 Global Environmental Change 11, 19-29.

Hulme,M., Doherty,R.M., Ngara,T., New,M.G. and Lister,D. (2001) African climate change: 1900-2100 Climate Research 17, 145-168.

Hulme,M., Crossley,J. and Lu,X. (2001) An exploration of regional climate change scenarios for Scotland The Scottish Executive Central Research Unit, Edinburgh, 50pp.

Hulme,M. (2001) Classics in physical geography revisited - the effects of doubling the CO2 concentration on the climate of a general circulation model. (Reprinted from Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (1975) 32, 3-15) Progress in Physical Geography 25(3), 385-387.

Hulme,M. (2001) New Tyndall Centre to encourage integrated climate research Ocean Challenge 10, 15-16.

Hulme,M. and Torok,S. (2001) The scientific evidence for human-induced climate change SciDev.Net Dossier Feature article

Hulme,M. (2001) 40 ways to change a world climate Book review of ‘Emissions scenarios: special report to the IPCC’ (eds.) Nakicenovic,N. and Swart,R., Times Higher Education Supplement (2 February), p.30.

Hulme,M. (2001) Black gold blackens future Book reviews of ‘The collapse of the Kyoto Protocol and the struggle to slow global warming’ by D.Victor and ‘Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability and change’ (ed.) National Assessment Synthesis Team, Times Higher Education Supplement (22 June), p.25.

Magistro,J., Roncoli,C. and Hulme,M. (eds.) (2001) Anthropological perspectives and policy implications of climate change research Climate Research Special Issue, 19(2)

Mearns,L.O., Hulme,M., Carter,T.R., Lal,M., Leemans,R. and Whetton,P.H. (2001) Climate scenario development pp.739-768 in, Climate change 2001: the scientific basis (eds.) Houghton,J.T., Ding,Y., Griggs,D.J., Noguer,M., van der Linden,P.J., Dai,X., Maskell,K. and Johnson,C.A. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 944pp.

New,M., Todd,M., Hulme,M. and Jones,P.D. (2001) Precipitation trends and measurements in the twentieth century International Journal of Climatology 21(15), 1899-1922.

Sear,C., Hulme,M., Adger,W.N. and Brown,K. (2001) The impacts of global climate change on the British Overseas Territories Report to DFID Overseas Territories Unit, London, 38pp + Annexes.

Sear,C., Hulme,M. Adger,W.N. and Brown,K. (2001) The impacts of global climate change on the British Overseas Territories Technical Report and Stakeholder Survey, Tyndall Centre Technical Report, Norwich, 51pp.

Torok,S. and Hulme,M. (2001) How real is the threat of sea-level rise? SciDev.net Dossier Feature article



Publications 2000

« 31 December 2000 | 4:15 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Beersma,J., Agnew,M., Viner,D. and Hulme,M. (eds.) (2000) Climate scenarios for water-related and coastal impacts Proceedings of the ECLAT-2 KNMI Workshop, 10-12 May 2000, Climatic Research Unit, UEA, Norwich, UK, 144pp.

Carter,T.R., Hulme,M., Crossley,J.F., Malyshev,S. New,M.G., Schlesinger,M.E. and Tuomenvirta,H. (2000) Climate change in the 21st century: interim characterizations based on the new IPCC emissions scenarios Finnish Environment Institute Report No. 433, Helsinki, Finland, 148pp.

Cramer,W., Doherty,R.M., Hulme,M. and Viner,D. (eds.) (2000) Climate scenarios for agricultural, forest and ecosystem impacts Proceedings of the ECLAT-2 Potsdam Workshop, 13-15 October 1999, Climatic Research Unit, UEA, Norwich, UK, 120pp.

Hulme,M. (2000) Choice is all New Scientist Vol.2263 (4 Nov), pp.56-57.

Hulme,M. (2000) Heavy weather? Third Way 23, 8-9.

Hulme,M. (2000) Global warming Progress in Physical Geography 24(4), 591-599.

Hulme,M. (2000) There is no longer such a thing as a purely natural weather event The Guardian 15 March (Environment Section)

Hulme,M. (contributor) (2000) Wales: changing climate, challenging choices - the impacts of climate change in Wales from 2000 to 2080 (eds.) Farrar,J.F. and Vaze,P. , The National Assembly of Wales, Cardiff, 101pp.

Hulme,M. and Carter,T.R. (2000) The changing climate of Europe pp.47-84 in, Assessment of potential effects and adaptations for climate change in Europe: the Europe ACACIA project (ed.) Parry,M.L., The Jackson Environment Institute, UEA, Norwich, UK, 320pp.

Hulme,M. and Dwyer,I. (2000) UK climate research set fair Science and Public Affairs December, pp.14-15.

Hulme,M. and Sheard,N. (2000) Escenarios de cambio climatico para la Argentina pp.314-319 in, Situacion ambiental Argentina 2000 (eds.) Bertonatti,C. and Corcuera,J., Fundacion vida Silvestre Argentina, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 440pp.

Hulme,M., Wigley,T.M.L., Barrow,E.M., Raper,S.C.B., Centella,A., Smith,S. and Chipanshi,A. (2000) Using a climate scenario generator in vulnerability and adaptation assessments: MAGICC and SCENGEN workbook Climatic Research Unit, UEA, Norwich, UK, 60pp.

Jordan,A., Lorenzoni,I., Hulme,M., Turner,R.K. and O’Riordan,T. (2000) A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: a scenario-based study in the UK CSERGE Working Paper No.2000-01, CSERGE, UEA, Norwich, UK

Lorenzoni,I., Jordan,A., Hulme,M., Turner,R.K. and O’Riordan,T. (2000) A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: part I - integrating saocio-economic and climate change scenarios Global Environmental Change 10, 57-68.

Lorenzoni,I., Jordan,A., O’Riordan,T., Turner,R.K. and Hulme,M. (2000) A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: part II - a scenario-based case study in the UK Global Environmental Change 10, 145-155.

Mitchell,T.D. and Hulme,M. (2000) A country-by-country analysis of past and future warming rates Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.1, Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, 19pp.

New,M., Hulme,M. and Jones,P.D. (2000) Representing twentieth century space-time variabilty. Part 2: development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate Journal of Climate 13, 2217-2238.

New,M.G. and Hulme,M. (2000) Representing uncertainties in climate change scenarios: a Monte Carlo approach Integrated Assessment 1, 203-213.

Osborn,T.J., Hulme,M. , Jones,P.D. and Basnett,T. (2000) Observed trends in the daily intensity of UK precipitation International Journal of Climatology 20, 347-364.

Subak,S., Palutikof,J.P., Agnew,M.D., Watson,S.J., Bentham,C.G., Cannell,M.G.R., Hulme,M., McNally,S., Thornes,J.E., Waughray,D. and Woods,J.C. (2000) The impact of the anomalous weather of 1995 on the UK economy Climatic Change 44, 1-26.



Publications 1999

« 31 December 1999 | 3:10 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Carter,T., Hulme,M. and Viner,D. (eds.) (1999) Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies Proceedings of the ECLAT-2 Helsinki Workshop, 14-16 April 1999, Climatic Research Unit, UEA, Norwich, UK, 128pp.

Carter,T.R., Hulme,M., Tuomenvirta,H., New,M.G., Osborn,T.J., Crossley,J., Doherty,R.M. and Jones,P.D. (1999) Interim characterizations of regional climate and related changes up to 2100 associated with the SRES emissions scenarios IPCC Working Group II, Technical Support Unit, Washington DC, USA, 33pp., plus maps

Doherty,R.M., Hulme,M. and Jones,C.G. (1999) A gridded reconstruction of land and ocean precipitation for the extended Tropics from 1974-1994 Int. J. Climatol. 19, 119-142.

Hulme,M. (1999) Global warming Progress in Physical Geography 23, 283-291.

Hulme,M. (1999) Future climates of the UK: the UKCIP98 climate change scenarios Town & Country Planning 68, 12-13.

Hulme,M., Barrow,E.M., Arnell,N., Harrison,P.A., T.E.Downing and T.C.Johns (1999) Relative impacts of human-induced climate change and internal climate variability Nature 397, 688-691.

Hulme,M., Harrison,P.A. and Arnell,N.W. (1999) Climate variabiltiy and crop yields in Europe: reply to Porter,J.R. and Semenov,M.A. Nature, 400, 724.

Hulme,M. (1999) Climate change pp.406-436 in, The changing geography of the UK (eds.) Gardiner,V. and Matthews,H., Routledge, London, UK, 528pp.

Hulme,M. and Carter,T.R. (1999) Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies pp.11-37 in, Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies Proceedings of the ECLAT-2 Helsinki Workshop, 14-16 April, 1999 (eds.) Carter,T.R., Hulme,M. and Viner,D., Climatic Research Unit, Norwich, UK, 128pp.

Hulme,M. and Carter,T.R. (1999) The changing climate of Europe Chapter 3 in, An assessment of the potential effects of climate change in Europe (ed.) Parry,M.L., The report of the ACACIA Project, UEA, Norwich, UK, 350pp.

Hulme,M., Mitchell,J.F.B., Ingram,W., Johns,T.C., Lowe,J.A., New,M.G. and Viner,D. (1999) Climate change scenarios for global impact studies Gobal Environmental Change, 9, S3-S19.

Jones,P.D., Horton,E.B., Folland,C.K., Hulme,M., Parker,D.E. and Basnett,T.A. (1999) The use of indices to identify change in climatic extremes Climatic Change 42, 131-149.

Mitchell,T. and Hulme,M. (1999) Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty Prog. in Phys. Geogr. 23, 57-78.

New,M., Hulme,M. and Jones,P.D. (1999) Representing twentieth century space-time climate variability. Part 1: development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology Journal of Climate 12, 829-856.

Osborn,T.J., Conway,D., Hulme,M., Gregory,J.M. and Jones,P.D. (1999) Air flow influences on local climate: observed and simulated mean relationships for the UK Climate Research 13, 171-191.

Parry,M.L., Arnell,N.W., Hulme,M., Martens,P., Nicholls,R.J. and White,A. (1999) The global impact of climate change: a new assessment Global Environmental Change 9, S1-S2.



Publications 1998

« 18 December 1998 | 3:11 | Archived Publications | Comments Off »

Adapting to the inevitableHulme,M. (1998) Is global climate changing? Suffolk Wildlife Trust Spring/summer issue, pp.14-15

Hulme,M. (1998) Global warming Progress in Physical Geography 22, 398-406

Hulme,M. (1998) The sensitivity of Sahel rainfall to global warming: implications for scenario analysis of future climate change impact pp. 429-436 in, Water resources variability in Africa during the 20th century, (eds.) Servat,E., Hughes,D., Fritsch,J.M. and Hulme,M., IAHS Publication No.252, Wallingford, UK, 462pp.

Hulme,M. and Brown,O. (1998) Portraying climate scenario uncertainties in relation to tolerable regional climate change Climate Research 10, 1-14

Hulme,M. and Jenkins,G.J. (1998) Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom UKCIP Technical Report No.1, Climatic Research Unit, Norwich, UK, 80pp.

Hulme,M., Osborn,T.J. and T.C.Johns (1998) Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations Geophysical Research Letters 25, 3379-3382

Hulme,M. and Parry,M.L. (1998) Adapt or mitigate? Responding to climate change Town & Country Planning 67, 50-51

Hulme,M. and Viner,D. (1998) A climate change scenario for the Tropics Climatic Change 39, 145-176

Osborn,T.J. and Hulme,M. (1998) Evaluation of the daily precipitation characteristics of AMIP atmospheric model simulations over Europe Int. J. Climatology 18, 505-522

Parry,M.L., Arnell,N.W., Hulme,M., Nicholls,R.J. and Livermore,M. (1998) Buenos Aires and Kyoto targets do little to reduce climate impacts Global Environmental Change 8, 285-289

Parry,M.L., Arnell,N., Hulme,M., Nicholls,R.J. and Livermore,M. (1998) Adapting to the inevitable Nature 395, 741

Servat,E., Hughes,D., Fritsch,J.M. and Hulme,M. (eds.) (1998) Water resources variability in Africa during the 20th century IAHS Publication No.252, Wallingford, UK, 462pp.

Smith,J.B. and Hulme,M. (1998) Climate change scenarios Chapter 3 in, Handbook on methods of climate change impacts assessment and adaptation strategies: Version 2.0 (eds.) Feenstra,J., Burton,I., Smith,J.B., and Tol,R.S.J., October, UNEP/IES, Amsterdam